FROM 2/10/15 MIRS
Denno/Vanguard Poll Has Prop 1 At 37%
Vanguard Public Affairs is reporting 37 percent of Michigan voters support the sales tax increase to fix the roads while 37 percent are against it.
The Denno Research-run survey of 600 likely general election voters was taken Feb. 2-5. A quarter of the calls were made to cell phones. The margin of error is +/- 4 percent.
Denno Research CEO Dennis Denno also reported more troubling news for the governor, 45 percent of self-described independent voters reject boosting the sales tax by 17 percent to fund the roads and three other areas of the budget — schools, local governments and needy families.
“It’s not where you want to be,” to launch a campaign Denno told MIRS. Meanwhile MDOT director Kurt Steudle reported, “we’re educating the public” and he is explaining that when somebody purchases a big screen TV, the sales tax does not go for the roads and he believes “when people understand that,” they will vote yes.
On another front, the Paul Mitchell-led group opposing the tax increase has launched a web site explaining why votes should vote no. He has also promised a media campaign that will include TV and radio commercials along with direct mail flyers to would-be voter.
Clinton Beating Bush In Michigan
With renewed interested in the Republican Party about winning a presidential race in Michigan, the latest polling data shows likely Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton beating potential Republican presidential candidate Jeb Bush by 9 points in the head to head match-up here.
Vanguard Public Affairs commissioned the survey from Denno Research. Clinton got 38 percent of the Michigan vote while Bush got 29.8 percent with about a third of the voters undecided.
Looking at some of the cross tabs, the former First Lady/Secretary of State scores better with female voters, picking up 41 percent compared to 34 percent of the male vote. Younger voters apparently like Clinton with 42 percent between the ages of 18-34 picking her while 31 percent over age 65 are in her corner.
As expected, the former Florida governor fairs well in West Michigan with 38 percent support and despite his recent foray into Detroit at the economic club, he gets 0 percent out of Motown. Clinton receives 75 percent support in Detroit but 27 percent in Upper Lower Michigan.
Vanguard President T.J. Bucholz reported the poll is interesting in that the sample universe was a plus 7 on the Democratic side but yet “Jeb is within striking distance in what is traditionally a Democratic state.
The margin of error was four percent and 25% of the sample was obtained via cell phones.
Snyder Support For President At 25%
Asked flatly if they would like to see Gov. Rick SNYDER run for president, 25 percent of the 600-voter sample said yes but 62.8 percent said no. The final 12.2 percent were undecided or didn’t know.
While only 15 percent of Democrats and 21 percent of independents said he should run, 41 percent of Republicans said they would like to see him run. In fact, almost an equal number of Republicans (40 percent) said they would not like to see him run.
“Unfortunately, taking Relentless Positive Action to the national stage is a pipedream for Snyder fans,” Bucholz said. “It’s still possible that he might make a viable choice for Vice President — if he chooses to pursue an opportunity with a presidential contender — but the chances of One Tough Nerd working in the Oval Office are about the same as the Detroit Lions going undefeated and winning the Super Bowl.”
